Friday, December 12, 2008

Getting Defensive About the Heisman (with bonus music video)

The knock: "Tim Tebow doesn't have the stats of McCoy or Bradford. Those Big-XII QB's are just better statistically and deserve to win it over that glorified fullback down in Gainesville."

Okay. I'll admit it: Tebow does not have the stats of his Big-XII counterparts. But, like I've been driving home, it's not all statistical. There are intangibles that must be taken into account. That is why Tebow would still be my Heisman pick (note: I do not actually have a vote). But, for those of you who want to do it strictly by the stats, let's look at the numbers behind the numbers.

(Doing best Michael Keaton impression) 'You want to get statistical?!?! Come on, Jack!! let's get statistical!!!'

ESPN's SEC blogger Chris Low put this together today. Maybe it can clear up the how and why of this stat discrepancy. PLEASE READ IT.

The best part:

"Tebow faced six of the top 25 defenses in college football this season. Bradford faced one and McCoy none.
Tebow faced 10 top 50 defenses. Bradford faced three and McCoy none.
McCoy faced 11 defenses that were ranked lower than 70th. Bradford faced eight and Tebow one.
In Tebow's eight games against defenses ranked in the top 30 this season, he passed for a total of 18 touchdowns and no interceptions and rushed for nine touchdowns."



Well, let's look at it like a grade book.

If you drop the 2 lowest grades, McCoy 's lowest ranked opponent is still 113 Texas A&M. Bradford's is 110 Washington. Tebow's? 37 Kentucky. That's right - Thirty fucking seven. So, he might not have the numbers of the other two guys, but would they even have their numbers with Tebow's schedule? Nope. So, when you really get statistical, it should still be the G'ville Superman.

But, this doesn't help anyone. (Thanks to aroo in ATL)

Also of note: The 2 toughest D's Oklahoma faced? TCU and Cincinnati.

I'd also like to see how many of Bradford's numbers came late with the game well in hand. I know Florida made some questionable decisions with games wrapped up, but Stoops made a whole new sport out of it.

**********************************************************************

No one at ESPN is picking Tebow to win. They're all gushing over the Big-12 wonder twins and grudgingly accepting Tebow as #3. Oh well, It's probably because of that August 14 meeting at ESPN headquarters where Dan Beebe "donated" a million dollars and a few BJ's to the writing staff (citation needed). Fuck 'em.

Here's my (completely pretend and useless) Heisman Ballot:

1. Tim Tebow
2. Colt McCoy
3. Sam Bradford
4. Shonn Greene
5. Andre Smith

1 comment:

  1. Even though I'm not the fan of Tebow that you are, I've been swayed in my opinion of him by this post. He's a great [insert words], but I've just been giving him the stinkeye all season. I don't know why.

    ReplyDelete